TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds represent more aggressive predictions about the game's scoring pace.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions, all occurring on the same date and time. Each threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds that level. These markets operate independently, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of scoring intensity in the same contest. The resolution for each market is binary, based solely on whether the final total crosses its respective threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights. Sportsbooks often set their lines to attract balanced betting, incorporating a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to different probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will reflect that. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, though it is important to consider the differing motivations behind each type of market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 9.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, and the market will remain open until Sep 8, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored in the game, as officially recorded by the KBO, will determine whether the market settles in favor of the 'Over 9.5 runs' or 'Under 9.5 runs' outcome. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the resolution of this market, ensuring a transparent and objective result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kia Tigers or the Samsung Lions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the game location are also a major factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Finally, late-breaking reports on pitching matchups or team strategies could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to new information and refine their predictions.