TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions in their college baseball game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined runs will exceed certain thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's offensive performance.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions, scheduled for July 28, 2026. Each threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market. For any given market, if the combined runs scored by both teams during the game exceed the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect the others. The game in question is a college-level contest, and the time and date are fixed. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the Kia-Samsung run total market set odds based on their expectations for total runs scored. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, reflecting real-time trader sentiment and volume patterns rather than set bookmaker projections. While sportsbooks may use historical data and adjusted margins, this market pricing evolves with each trade. The contrast highlights how decentralized trader behavior can diverge from established sportsbook models, especially in high-volume periods. For participants, comparing these approaches offers insight into where public trader confidence versus institutional sportsbook assessments place emphasis.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official game determines whether the total runs fall above or below the line set by traders, closing the market based on publicly available results.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays affecting game length, recent batting trends for either team, and in-game performance updates such as early home runs or pitching changes. Any development that changes the expected pace or scoring potential can cause rapid adjustments in odds before Jul 28, 2026.