TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers might assess the relative strength or performance of the teams based on the difference in runs scored. The event captures interest in predicting not just who will win, but by how much.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios for the Kia Tigers vs Samsung Lions game scheduled for September 8, 2026. Each scenario addresses a specific winning margin for either team: Samsung Lions winning by over 2.5 runs, Samsung Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, Kia Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, and Kia Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs. All markets resolve based solely on the final run difference from the game as officially recorded by the Korea Baseball Organization (KBO). The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. No alternative outcomes, tie scenarios, or post-game adjustments affect resolution; only the raw run differential determines the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side of the spread, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kia Tigers versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Samsung Lions win by over 2.5 runs, as defined by the market’s parameters. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and will be publicly available following the game’s completion. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather conditions impacting the game could all cause significant shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players in recent games, or updated team statistics, might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the odds, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.