TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams, the Kia Tigers and the NC Dinos, will compete in a match where the outcome depends on the margin of victory. The game's result will determine whether one team wins by a sufficient number of runs to meet specific criteria.
This event covers four possible outcomes in the Kia Tigers vs NC Dinos Korea KBO game scheduled for Sep 3, 2026. If the NC Dinos win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the NC Dinos win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If the Kia Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if the Kia Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the run differential of the winning team. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and betting action, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. For this market, differences may arise from real-time trader activity and emerging news, making it worth comparing both sources for a broader perspective on likely outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, adjusting for new information as it emerges. The current implied chance reflects aggregated trader expectations of the point spread result. Volume of $2,145 shows overall interest, while price history reveals how market sentiment has shifted in recent days. This decentralized pricing model lets participants react quickly to changing conditions in the league.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread is calculated based on the official game result, and the market settles accordingly. Timing aligns with the conclusion of the match, ensuring a clear and timely resolution for all participants.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. As the game nears, any last-minute roster updates or strategic announcements may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch betting trends and media narratives, which often preview shifts in public and market sentiment ahead of the final whistle.