TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 8:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a baseball game between the Kia Tigers and the NC Dinos. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, reflecting the competitive balance and potential outcomes of the match.
The event evaluates the outcome of a baseball game between the Kia Tigers and the NC Dinos, specifically assessing the margin by which either team wins. Four distinct markets are defined, each corresponding to a different run differential threshold: the NC Dinos winning by over 2.5 runs, the NC Dinos winning by over 1.5 runs, the Kia Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Kia Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs. If the actual result of the game matches or exceeds any of these specified margins, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The event occurs in the Korea KBO league and is scheduled for September 2, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves based solely on its own criteria, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants set odds based on their expectations for the spread result. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all traders on the platform, with chances displayed as a percentage and volume showing overall interest. Prices can shift rapidly with new data or changing opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score, which is compared against the stated spread to settle all positions. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded final score.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game performance, and recent team performance trends could all shift this market. Media updates, coach comments, and betting patterns on Kalshi also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of covering the spread may cause noticeable price movements before resolution.