TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 8:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Kia Tigers and Lotte Giants on July 8, 2026 will be evaluated based on the combined run total scored by both teams. Different thresholds determine whether the total scoring reaches specific levels.
Resolution is determined by the combined runs scored by Kia Tigers and Lotte Giants in their scheduled game on July 8, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event encompasses four distinct scoring thresholds: combined runs exceeding 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5. Each threshold is evaluated independently to determine the corresponding market outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Sportsbook lines often reflect sharp professional action and margin requirements, while prediction markets can respond more dynamically to new information and retail sentiment. Comparing the two reveals whether consensus leans toward an over or under, though each venue's odds reflect its own participant base and liquidity conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Kia Tigers versus Lotte Giants game concludes and the final run total is verified. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all innings. Resolution occurs after the result is confirmed through credible public reporting of the official game box score. Traders holding positions at resolution receive payouts based on whether the actual total matched the over or under threshold of 9.5 runs.
Several factors can shift odds before Jul 8, 2026. Lineup announcements, including the availability of key hitters or pitchers, directly influence run-scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and overall offensive output. Recent team form, bullpen health, and head-to-head matchup history all inform trader positioning. Breaking injury news or late roster changes can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early-game developments, such as quick scoring or strong pitching performances, may prompt traders to adjust their positions as the event unfolds.