TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game. Participants predict whether the combined runs will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the game's final score.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total runs scored in a single college baseball game between Kia Tigers and KT Wiz, scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined runs from both teams must exceed its respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and resolution depends solely on the actual runs scored during the match. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are motivated by accurate forecasting. This can lead to situations where this market reflects a different probability assessment than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event draws closer and more informed traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under a specific number. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the market's implied threshold. The resolution will be based on the official, final game results, and any potential adjustments made by the league or governing body.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kia Tigers or the KT Wiz would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions favorable or unfavorable for scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, performance trends of both teams, recent game results, and even expert analysis from baseball commentators could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.