TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This Korea KBO baseball matchup between Kia Tigers and Kiwoom Heroes on June 25, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final margin of victory. The event covers various run-differential thresholds to determine outcomes across different spread scenarios.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Kia Tigers vs Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO game scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event evaluates whether either team wins by more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs. If Kiwoom Heroes wins by more than 2.5 runs, that outcome resolves affirmatively. If Kiwoom Heroes wins by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), that separate outcome resolves affirmatively. If Kia Tigers wins by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5), that outcome resolves affirmatively. If Kia Tigers wins by more than 2.5 runs, that outcome resolves affirmatively. Outcomes are mutually exclusive based on which team wins and by what margin.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants on Kalshi, which may differ from any single sportsbook's posted line. Neither is inherently more accurate; comparing them can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers and sellers negotiating the odds in real time. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the market price adjusts to reflect updated expectations. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Kia Tigers versus Kiwoom Heroes game concludes and the final spread is verified. The outcome is determined by the actual point differential in the match, confirmed against credible public sources covering the event. Your position settles based on whether the final result falls on the side of the spread you backed. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the game ending, allowing traders to see results quickly.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions and home-field advantage can also influence expectations about scoring patterns and the likely spread. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting action on related markets may shift trader sentiment. As game time approaches, late-breaking news—such as a star player's status or lineup adjustments—often triggers sharp price movements. Monitor official team announcements and sports news for developments that could reshape how traders are pricing this market.