TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea KBO baseball game between Kia Tigers and Kiwoom Heroes scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Kia Tigers vs Kiwoom Heroes Korea KBO game originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent participants collectively believe will happen, without the profit-margin markup typical of traditional sportsbooks. Over time, prediction market prices tend to incorporate breaking news and public sentiment faster than some fixed sportsbook lines, though both sources offer valuable perspectives on the matchup's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares that pay out based on the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the current market price reflects the balance between buyers and sellers. As new information emerges—team injuries, recent form, or lineup changes—traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the price up or down. The spread between buy and sell prices indicates liquidity; tighter spreads suggest more active trading and higher confidence in the price discovery process.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the game; any draw or no-contest scenario would be handled according to the market's standard rules. Traders should monitor official league announcements and final score confirmations to understand when the market will settle. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see their positions finalized promptly.
Key roster changes—such as injuries to star players or unexpected lineup announcements—often trigger sharp price moves in this market. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are continuously repriced as traders weigh new data. Weather conditions, if relevant, and any last-minute tactical shifts reported by beat writers can shift odds in the final hours. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may also signal shifting expectations. Public sentiment shifts, team news, and pre-game analysis from respected analysts frequently drive trading volume and price adjustments leading up to kickoff.