TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between the Kia Tigers and the Doosan Bears. It focuses on whether either team will win by a substantial margin, reflecting expectations about the potential dominance of one team over the other in this competitive matchup.
The event evaluates various winning margins for the Kia Tigers vs Doosan Bears game scheduled for September 23, 2026. Four distinct markets determine resolution based on the size of the winning margin for either team. If the Doosan Bears win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. A second market resolves to Yes if the Doosan Bears win by more than 1.5 runs, regardless of whether the margin is exactly 2, 2.5, or greater. Conversely, if the Kia Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. The final market resolves to Yes if the Kia Tigers secure a victory margin exceeding 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, with each providing a different threshold for victory margin, allowing participants to speculate on the extent of dominance either team might achieve. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Doosan Bears will win by over 1.5 runs. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective opinion of all participants trading on Kalshi, and the market will remain open until Sep 23, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kia Tigers versus Doosan Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will determine whether the Doosan Bears won by more than 1.5 runs, based on the official game results. The final score will be used to verify the outcome, and the winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game result to understand the final settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kia Tigers or the Doosan Bears would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect pitching or hitting, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected starting pitcher announcements or significant shifts in team performance leading up to the game are other potential catalysts. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also drive price fluctuations in this market.