TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) regular season game between Spartak Moscow and HC Dynamo Moscow scheduled for March 16, 2026. The markets track the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (HC Dynamo Moscow win or Spartak Moscow win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket correctly structures the outcome as a categorical winner selection.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market without clarification from Kalshi support. The market as described cannot function as a binary Yes/No market. Polymarket is the only platform with a logically coherent resolution structure for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both HC Dynamo Moscow victory and Spartak Moscow victory resolve to Yes. No complementary No outcome is defined. This violates binary market logic and suggests either incomplete market documentation or a structural error in market creation.Polymarket:
Market resolves to the winning team's name (categorical outcome). Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout winner receives +1 goal for scoring purposes. Clear, logically consistent structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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