TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Volume:
$79,039
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the ice hockey match between Sibir Novosibirsk and Metallurg Magnitogorsk in the KHL (Kontinental Hockey League), Russia's premier professional ice hockey competition. Markets within this group likely include moneyline (match winner), point spreads, and total goals outcomes. Settlement will be determined by the official final score as recorded by the KHL.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins (logically impossible — every game has a winner), while Polymarket correctly resolves to the specific winning team. Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market. Its resolution criteria state that YES occurs if Metallurg wins OR if Sibir wins — meaning the market resolves YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket's binary winner-determination is the only coherent resolution path.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins OR if Sibir Novosibirsk wins, creating a logical contradiction where every possible game outcome triggers YES resolution. Key quote: 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Sibir Novosibirsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Market resolves to the name of the winning team ('Sibir Novosibirsk' or 'Metallurg Magnitogorsk'), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to Sibir Novosibirsk. If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to Metallurg Magnitogorsk.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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