TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Volume:
$59,105
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the outcome of a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Sibir Novosibirsk and Metallurg Magnitogorsk, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results. The event is sourced from the official KHL calendar.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winner's name (binary: Sibir or Metallurg), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where Kalshi's market cannot differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent payoffs. Polymarket's market identifies a single winner; Kalshi's market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unresolvable as a competitive prediction. Avoid Kalshi unless you are betting on the game occurring (not on the outcome).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to the name of the winning team (Sibir Novosibirsk or Metallurg Magnitogorsk), creating a binary outcome where exactly one market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If Sibir Novosibirsk win, the market will resolve to Sibir Novosibirsk. If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to Metallurg Magnitogorsk.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins OR if Sibir Novosibirsk wins, meaning the market resolves YES for all possible game outcomes, rendering it unable to differentiate between teams. Key quote: 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Sibir Novosibirsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.