TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Volume:
$1,521
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Salavat Yulaev Ufa and Metallurg Magnitogorsk scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this single game, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Metallurg wins OR Salavat wins) are stated to resolve to YES, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a coherent winner-selection model with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as written cannot function because both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve YES. Before trading, demand clarification from Kalshi on whether only one outcome should resolve YES, or if this is a different market type entirely. Polymarket's structure is sound and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-selection model: resolves to the name of the winning team. Handles postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Includes shootout rule (one goal added to winner's score). Key Quote: 'If Salavat Yulaev Ufa win, the market will resolve to Salavat Yulaev Ufa. If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to Metallurg Magnitogorsk.'
- Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure with critical flaw: states 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution, creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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