TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktor
Volume:
$3,959
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Metallurg Magnitogorsk and Traktor Chelyabinsk scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. Markets resolve based on the final winner of the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins AND Traktor wins) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (team name as outcome).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current structure violates basic boolean logic. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting conventions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the winning team's name (Metallurg Magnitogorsk or Traktor). Handles edge cases with postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted as one additional goal for the winner.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure, but both possible game outcomes (Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins OR Traktor wins) are mapped to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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