TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Volume:
$2,967
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Metallurg Magnitogorsk and Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM EST. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Metallurg win or Avtomobilist win) resolve to Yes, rendering the market non-predictive and unresolvable as a true binary. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome tied to the winning team.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market structure is clarified. The current logic guarantees Yes resolution on any completed game, eliminating predictive value. Polymarket is the only platform with a coherent, resolvable market structure for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins the game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM EST. Market also resolves to Yes if Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins the same game. This creates a tautology where any game completion results in Yes. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation is stated.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to Metallurg Magnitogorsk if that team wins, or to Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg if that team wins. Postponed games keep the market open until completion. Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootouts, with one goal added to winning team's score in shootout scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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