TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for April 27 at 10:00AM ET: If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to "Metallurg Magnitogorsk". If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Ak Bars Kazan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Metallurg Magnitogorsk win OR Ak Bars Kazan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The platform has defined a binary market where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically, which is logically impossible. Wait for Kalshi to correct the market definition or trade exclusively on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Metallurg Magnitogorsk win resolves to their name; Ak Bars Kazan win resolves to their name. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory definition. Both possible outcomes (Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins OR Ak Bars Kazan wins) are stated to resolve to Yes. No condition is defined for No resolution, making the market unresolvable.
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