TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Volume:
$7,250
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Lokomotiv Yaroslavl and Metallurg Magnitogorsk scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Lokomotiv win and Metallurg win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken and cannot settle correctly. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous winner-based resolution. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a data error or if the market was intended to measure something other than game winner (e.g., whether the game is played).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to 'Lokomotiv Yaroslavl' if they win, 'Metallurg Magnitogorsk' if they win, or 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Includes shootout rule: one goal added to winning team's score. Source: KHL official calendar.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. Market states: 'If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, leaving no defined No resolution path and no way to distinguish between teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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