TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Sochi and Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM EST. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements, cancellations, and shootout scoring.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (HC Sochi win and Torpedo win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary resolution structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot resolve as currently written because both possible game outcomes cannot both trigger Yes. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard binary sports betting logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. HC Sochi win resolves to 'HC Sochi', Torpedo win resolves to 'Torpedo'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout adds 1 goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.Kalshi:
Defective Yes/No structure. States 'If HC Sochi wins... resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod wins... resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. No condition for No resolution is specified, creating a logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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