TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Ak Bars Kazan
Volume:
$3,489
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Sochi and Ak Bars Kazan scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (HC Sochi win and Ak Bars Kazan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses categorical resolution (team names) and includes edge-case protocols (postponement, cancellation) that Kalshi does not address.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the platform clarifies whether Yes should represent HC Sochi win (with No = Ak Bars Kazan win) or if there is a third outcome (draw/tie). Polymarket's market is resolvable as written. Monitor for game postponement or cancellation; only Polymarket has explicit rules for these scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both HC Sochi win and Ak Bars Kazan win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If HC Sochi wins...resolves to Yes. If Ak Bars Kazan wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: HC Sochi win resolves to HC Sochi; Ak Bars Kazan win resolves to Ak Bars Kazan. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If HC Sochi win, the market will resolve to HC Sochi. If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to Ak Bars Kazan.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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