TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. Markets predict the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating guaranteed profit regardless of actual game result. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until the market definition is corrected. The Kalshi market as written violates basic logical consistency - it cannot differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound: trade there with confidence. If Kalshi remains uncorrected at settlement, escalate to PredictionHero compliance for potential refund or void determination.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes if Avtomobilist wins AND also resolves to Yes if Lokomotiv wins. Quote: 'If Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a tautology - the market always resolves Yes.Polymarket:
Market resolves to the winning team name. Quote: 'If Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg win, resolves to Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg' OR 'If Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win, resolves to Lokomotiv Yaroslavl'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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