TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Traktor
Volume:
$2,615
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Avangard Omsk and Traktor Chelyabinsk scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM EST. The markets track the outcome of this game across two prediction platforms with differing resolution mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Traktor win and Avangard win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution value.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform likely made an error in market creation. Polymarket's market is logically sound. If you hold Kalshi positions, request a refund or clarification from support before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Traktor wins OR if Avangard wins. No path to No resolution exists. This is a logical contradiction that renders the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Traktor Chelyabinsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If HK Avangard Omsk wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Market resolves to 'Avangard Omsk' if Avangard wins, or 'Traktor' if Traktor wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Result includes overtime and shootouts (one goal added to winner in shootout case). Key quote: 'If Avangard Omsk win, the market will resolve to Avangard Omsk. If Traktor win, the market will resolve to Traktor.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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