TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
Volume:
$5,566
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Amur Khabarovsk and Salavat Yulaev Ufa scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 4:00 AM EST. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses a two-outcome winner-selection model with explicit 50-50 cancellation fallback, while Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No framework specific to Amur Khabarovsk victory with no stated cancellation protocol. This creates different outcome spaces and undefined behavior under edge cases.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate markets with different risk profiles. Polymarket offers downside protection (50-50 on cancellation); Kalshi does not. If you are long Amur Khabarovsk on Kalshi, you face undefined resolution risk if the game is canceled. Cross-platform arbitrage is not recommended due to structural incompatibility.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-selection market resolving to team name. Postponed games stay open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market on Amur Khabarovsk victory only. No explicit guidance on postponement or cancellation scenarios. Implicitly assumes game will occur as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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