This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Admiral Vladivostok and Salavat Yulaev Ufa scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Admiral Vladivostok win OR Salavat Yulaev Ufa win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the resolution statement is corrected. The platform must specify distinct outcomes for each team (e.g., Yes if Admiral wins, No if Salavat wins, or vice versa). Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is logically sound and should be the reference market.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Admiral Vladivostok win resolves to Admiral Vladivostok; Salavat Yulaev Ufa win resolves to Salavat Yulaev Ufa. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout winner gets +1 goal added to score. Key Quote: If Admiral Vladivostok win, the market will resolve to Admiral Vladivostok. If Salavat Yulaev Ufa win, the market will resolve to Salavat Yulaev Ufa.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both Admiral Vladivostok win AND Salavat Yulaev UFA win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market. No distinction between outcomes. Key Quote: If Admiral Vladivostok wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.