This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between Admiral Vladivostok and Barys Astana scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Barys win and Admiral win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's binary logic is consistent and clear.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a correction. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Admiral Vladivostok win = 'Admiral Vladivostok' resolution; Barys Astana win = 'Barys Astana' resolution. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Includes shootout rule: winning team gets +1 goal added to score for resolution purposes.
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states 'If HC Barys wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Admiral Vladivostok wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, leaving no condition for No resolution. Market is logically broken and cannot be settled fairly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.