TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between KFUM Oslo and Molde, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer rules, with the final score determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the KFUM Oslo vs Molde professional Eliteserien soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026, based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct conditions are considered: KFUM Oslo winning by more than 2.5 goals, KFUM Oslo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Molde winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Molde winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the respective goal-differential threshold is met for the winning team. The event explicitly clarifies that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the official match result as recorded by the league.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through their buy and sell orders. The current implied probability reflects the balance of market participants’ expectations about the match outcome. Liquidity and volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the platform updates continuously as bets are placed.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score, and the market settles based on whether KFUM Oslo covers the spread set at the time of trading.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. Additionally, early goal scoring or significant momentum swings during the match often cause rapid price adjustments. Media reports and expert analysis leading up to the game may also influence trader sentiment and volume.