TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 2:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Market participants can bet on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the official match result.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 10, 2026, between Kfar Saba and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Kfar Saba, a win for Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The outcome is strictly based on the official match result as recognized by the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by actual money at stake, tends to be more responsive to new information and changing perceptions. While sportsbooks might adjust odds slowly, the prediction market can react more quickly to news, injuries, or other developments that impact the perceived probability of each outcome. It's a useful comparison to see where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants, providing insight into the perceived likelihood of each result in the Israeli Premier League match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Kfar Saba and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Kfar Saba, a win for Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, or a draw – is the officially recorded result. Traders will then be settled based on whether their chosen contract aligned with the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Kfar Saba or Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat would likely have a significant impact. Any unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift the odds. News regarding team tactics, manager decisions, or even weather conditions on match day could contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning, or the likelihood of a draw, has the potential to move this market.