TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KF Víkingur and ETO FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KF Víkingur" if KF Víkingur score more goals than ETO FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KF Víkingur and ETO FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ETO FC" if ETO FC score more goals than KF Víkingur in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KF Víkingur and ETO FC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KF Víkingur" if KF Víkingur score more goals than ETO FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KF Víkingur and ETO FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ETO FC" if ETO FC score more goals than KF Víkingur in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. In this market, the implied probability may run higher or lower than what you'd see at a typical sports betting venue, depending on which group of participants—traders or bettors—has stronger conviction about the second-half result. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares that represent yes or no outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active participants: higher prices mean stronger consensus that an outcome will occur, while lower prices signal skepticism. As new information surfaces—team news, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, and the price moves accordingly. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only. Resolution happens after the final whistle and official confirmation, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as live match events unfold.
Several catalysts can shift prices before resolution. Early first-half goals or defensive lapses may alter expectations about second-half momentum and fatigue levels. Injury announcements or tactical adjustments at halftime can reshape trader conviction. Red cards, substitutions, or shifts in possession and shot volume during the first half all feed into forecasts about the second-half scoreline. Live match commentary and real-time statistics also influence trader sentiment, causing rapid repricing as the match unfolds and new data becomes available.