TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 8:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KF Shkëndija 79 and NK Bravo, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Bravo" if NK Bravo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between KF Shkëndija 79 and NK Bravo, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Bravo" if NK Bravo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders who buy and sell shares based on their own beliefs about the outcome. This market may show materially different odds than a sportsbook for the same event, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), and traders profit by buying low and selling high as new information arrives. The more traders buy a particular outcome, the higher its price climbs, reflecting increased confidence. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, team news, or any other signals that might affect which team scores first.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports reporting outlets. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is abandoned before any goal is scored. Traders should monitor official team announcements and match status updates in the days leading up to kickoff.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical patterns. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and tactical adjustments announced shortly before kickoff can all shift trader expectations. Live updates during the warm-up or early minutes of play may also trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team social media and sports news outlets for any announcements that could influence which side is favored to strike first.