TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 5:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë and NK Celje, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë and NK Celje, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates trader sentiment directly, which can sometimes lead to sharper or more contrarian pricing than conventional betting lines. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus blind spots in how the match is being priced.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares in their predicted scoreline, and the price they pay reflects the current implied probability. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a self-correcting mechanism. The system incentivizes arbitrage and information discovery, so prices tend to tighten as match day approaches and uncertainty resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the Egnatia vs. Celje match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regulation time, with all winning shares paid out to holders of the correct scoreline. Traders should monitor official match reporting and league announcements to confirm the final result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing quick settlement and payout.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical shifts by either manager can shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence how traders assess the probability of high-scoring versus low-scoring outcomes. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments—such as a key player's fitness status or unexpected team selection—often trigger sharp repricing. Live score updates during the match itself will drive final settlement once the result is confirmed.