TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two soccer teams in a specific match, focusing on the difference in goals scored during regular time. It evaluates various thresholds for victory margins, reflecting how decisively one team outperforms the other. The outcome depends solely on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines whether either KF Drita or Tre Fiori achieves a specified goal differential victory in their Conference League match scheduled for August 13, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: KF Drita winning by more than 2.5 goals, KF Drita winning by more than 1.5 goals, Tre Fiori winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Tre Fiori winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event exclusively uses the official match result from the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent possible spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants on Kalshi about which team is likely to cover the spread in regulation time. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid adjustments based on news, injuries, or shifting expectations among traders.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread after 90 minutes of regulation time will determine which side of the market is correct, and contracts will settle accordingly based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the spread and move this market. Additionally, any significant betting trends or large trades on Kalshi may cause price adjustments as the match nears. Media analysis and pre-game polls may also influence trader sentiment in the final days leading to Aug 14, 2026.