TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team manages to win by a specific number of goals more than their opponent. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins for KF Drita and IC Escaldes in their professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for August 20, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if KF Drita wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if IC Escaldes wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader sentiment and market dynamics. While sportsbooks may set a fixed spread, prediction markets let participants bet on the exact margin, sometimes reflecting sharper or contrarian views based on recent team performance and publicly available data.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through their bids and offers, which determine the current implied probability for each outcome. The price reflects collective expectations about the game’s margin, with volume of $9,733 and 24-hour volume of $9,733 indicating participation levels. As new information emerges — like team news or form — the market may adjust rapidly.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the spread of 1.5 goals to determine which side wins. No additional interpretation is needed — the result is based solely on the officially recorded match result.
Injuries, weather conditions, or tactical changes ahead of the match could shift this market. Strong recent performances by either team, especially in closely matched fixtures, may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup announcements or coaching strategies that suggest a more offensive or defensive approach can cause rapid price adjustments as the game approaches.