TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Kenya and Eritrea. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the game and the potential for high-scoring play.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Kenya vs Eritrea AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties) exceed the specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. The thresholds progressively increase, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher-scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on the final goal count within the regular match duration. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest differing expert opinions or that the crowd perceives information not yet fully priced into traditional betting lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's strong public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Kenya vs Eritrea match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely scenario.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Kenya vs Eritrea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kenya or Eritrea would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, or even significant betting patterns observed in other markets, could sway trader sentiment. The closer we get to Sep 26, 2026, the more sensitive this market will become to any new information that emerges about the teams or the match conditions.