TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)
Volume:
$5,617,785
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Kentucky Wildcats and West Virginia Mountaineers on March 23 at 5:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves to YES for either outcome (Kentucky or West Virginia win), creating a tautological market, while Polymarket resolves to a specific winner name (Kentucky Wildcats or West Virginia Mountaineers), creating a mutually exclusive binary outcome.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure guarantees a YES resolution regardless of game outcome, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's market requires you to pick the actual winner. Do not treat these as equivalent bets — Kalshi is effectively a cancellation/postponement hedge, while Polymarket is a true winner-pick market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Kentucky wins OR if West Virginia wins, meaning the market resolves YES in all realistic game outcomes. Key quote: 'If Kentucky wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If West Virginia wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes — either 'Kentucky Wildcats' or 'West Virginia Mountaineers' — based on the actual game winner. Key quote: 'If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Kentucky Wildcats. If the West Virginia Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to West Virginia Mountaineers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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