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$148.3b

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$1,853,498,357

475,549

Markets across

35,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,812

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

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62%

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Kentucky vs. South Carolina
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kentucky vs. South Carolina?

Volume:
$15,183,503

Kentucky

 - Kalshi

Kentucky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 8:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kentucky

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,002,877
N/A
N/A
$3,907,957
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kentucky vs. South Carolina

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,411,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 65.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kentucky O/U 29.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South Carolina O/U 23.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Spread -1.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

South Carolina

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,440,681
N/A
N/A
$2,679,802
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of more or less than 0.5 successful two-point conversions occurring in the Kentucky vs. South Carolina college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of Kentucky vs. South Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 resolving to ‘Yes’ is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 3rd, as the number of successful two-point conversions will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Multiple spread markets exist with varying point spreads, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Be mindful of the specific point spread when trading spread markets. Focus on markets with sufficient liquidity and volume to ensure efficient price discovery.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Kentucky or South Carolina wins the game. This is a simple binary outcome market.
  • Polymarket: Offers both a binary market resolving to the winning team (Kentucky or South Carolina) and numerous spread markets with varying point spreads. Spread markets resolve based on the final point differential.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Kentucky and South Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game. This market will resolve to "South Carolina" if South Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Kentucky vs South Carolina college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Both represent probabilities, but the underlying mechanisms for determining those probabilities are quite different, and can lead to opportunities for informed traders.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi are common, even for the same underlying event. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can be due to variations in trader demographics, differing market-making activity, or even simply the time of day. Each platform attracts a unique user base with potentially different information and biases. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; a market with higher volume tends to have more stable and accurate pricing. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player performance could shift trader sentiment. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, can also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market as the game approaches.