TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential specifically in the fourth quarter of a college football game between Kent State and South Carolina. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win the final quarter to settle the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential achieved exclusively in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the designated college football game. If South Carolina wins the fourth quarter by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding 'South Carolina wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Kent State achieves the required margin, the relevant 'Kent State wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets consider only points scored during the fourth quarter, disregarding any points from earlier quarters. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its scheduled time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result; if the game does not commence within this window, markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than point spreads offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change based on new information and betting activity. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early on.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter of the game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Kent State will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards South Carolina, those contract prices will rise.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the fourth quarter of the Kent State vs. South Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by sports data providers. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of the outcome, and any disputes will be resolved according to the platform’s procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kent State or South Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also affect trading activity. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also shift sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations and move the market, especially as we get closer to Sep 5, 2026.