TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Kent State and South Carolina. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome. The result depends on whether South Carolina, Kent State, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that initial period.
If South Carolina wins the 1st quarter of the Kent St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kent St. wins the 1st quarter of the Kent St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Kent St. vs South Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions, potentially offering value to informed participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The higher the price of a contract, the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Kent State vs. South Carolina game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official score from the game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning team. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kent State or South Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and media outlets, as well as any late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to the game.