TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Kent State and Ohio State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to speculate on how dominant one team might be in that specific segment of the game.
These markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively during the third quarter of the Kent St. vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Ohio St. or Kent St. achieves the specified point margin over their opponent in that quarter, as defined by each individual market—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points for either team. All markets share a common secondary rule: only points scored in the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading continues and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe Kent St. will perform better than expected, the price will move in that direction, potentially creating a difference from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions come true. The more traders who believe Ohio St. will win by a certain margin, the higher the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Kent St. vs Ohio St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. No further action is required from traders after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the Ohio St. quarterback or Kent St.'s top receiver, could cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is predicted, can also impact the spread. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook lines, may also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could prompt traders to adjust their positions.