TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory needed for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Kennesaw St. vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin for that market during this quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points count toward any resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information or viewpoints that sportsbooks haven't fully considered. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines typically converge, driven by increasing trading volume and shared information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations about the game's likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 4th quarter of the Kennesaw St. vs. Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The platform will verify the outcome against established data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Kennesaw St. or Tennessee teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could influence trading activity on Kalshi and cause the spread to adjust. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role.