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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,422
Markets across
30,383
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Kennesaw State and Tennessee. It focuses solely on the scoring during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome. The resolution depends on whether Tennessee, Kennesaw State, or neither team (in case of a tie) has the most points when the third quarter concludes.
If Tennessee wins the 3rd quarter of the Kennesaw St. vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kennesaw St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Kennesaw St. vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Kennesaw St. vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market incorporates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the third quarter, though this market represents a distinct view based on trader activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team will win the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely converge towards the true probability of each team winning the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official score at the end of the third quarter of the Kennesaw St. vs. Tennessee game will determine which contract pays out. The team leading at that point will be declared the winner of the third quarter for the purposes of this market. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kennesaw St. or Tennessee teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, early performance in the first and second quarters of the game itself will undoubtedly cause the market to react, as traders adjust their assessments of each team’s likelihood of winning the third quarter. Unexpected coaching decisions could also be a catalyst for price changes.