TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Kennesaw State and Tennessee. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
The markets resolve based on the point difference in the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game. For Tennessee-related markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Tennessee's second-half points exceed the opponent's by more than the specified margin. For Kennesaw State-related markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Kennesaw State's second-half points exceed Tennessee's by more than the specified margin. All markets consider only points scored in the second half, including any overtime periods added during that half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than sportsbooks, as the continuous trading process incorporates information in real-time. This can provide a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders who believe the actual spread will be higher than the current price buy contracts, while those who believe it will be lower sell them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic process creates a market-driven assessment of the likely outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere. The current price represents the collective expectation of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Kennesaw St. vs. Tennessee game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game would also likely cause substantial movement. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also indirectly influence this market, as betting patterns and public attention shift.