TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Kennesaw State and Tennessee. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win the first quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of play. If Tennessee wins the first quarter by exceeding the specified point threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; if Kennesaw State achieves the required margin, that market resolves to 'Yes'. If neither team meets their respective threshold, the market resolves to 'No'. Postponements are handled by monitoring the 48-hour window from the original start time—if the game commences within this period, markets remain open and resolve based on actual results. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within this market. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, particularly as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of each spread, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Kennesaw St. vs. Tennessee first quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread established during the first quarter of the game. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by those contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Kennesaw St. or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, any significant updates related to team strategy or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts on Kalshi.