TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 183M
- Kalshi
Above 183M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:51 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Kendrick Lamar will accumulate at least 183 million worldwide streams on Luminate during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week, with a 49.5% probability on Kalshi. A secondary outcome tracks whether he reaches 184 million streams, also at 49.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate data for that specific week. Watch Kendrick Lamar's streaming performance during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking period, as this week's aggregate numbers will directly determine the market outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Kendrick Lamar's streaming volume, often incorporating real-time data that traditional analyst forecasts may lag. While music industry analysts typically project streaming performance based on historical trends and promotional activity, prediction markets allow continuous repricing as new information emerges—such as playlist placements, chart performance, or release announcements. The market odds serve as a dynamic alternative to static analyst estimates, capturing the collective intelligence of traders with financial incentives to forecast accurately.
On Kalshi, the Kendrick Lamar: Weekly Streams market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Kendrick will record 185 million streams on Luminate during May 22–28, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As new information about Kendrick's streaming trajectory, promotional efforts, or competitive releases surfaces, traders adjust their positions, moving the market price up or down. The current price reflects the consensus view among active participants on that venue.
The Kendrick Lamar: Weekly Streams market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the specific week of May 22–28, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether Kendrick Lamar's total streams during that seven-day window meet or exceed the 185 million threshold. Luminate is a comprehensive music data platform that tracks streams across major services, providing the authoritative source for settlement. Traders should monitor Kendrick's release schedule and promotional calendar leading up to that week.
Several catalysts could shift market odds for this event. A surprise album or single release during or immediately before the May 22–28 window would likely drive significant streaming volume. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other services could boost exposure and streams. Chart performance, award announcements, or high-profile collaborations may influence listener engagement. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or reduced promotional activity could dampen Kendrick's weekly total. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports about his momentum heading into that week would also inform trader positioning and market repricing.
