TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the second map in an upcoming professional Valorant match between KeepBest Gaming and Bilibili Gaming. The event is part of the China Evolution Series Act 3 for the year 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the specified map during the scheduled match.
If KeepBest Gaming wins map 2 in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: KeepBest Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bilibili Gaming wins map 2 in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: KeepBest Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's not uncommon to see prediction market prices that are more efficient or reflective of inside information than traditional betting markets. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge on a fair and accurate probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the KeepBest Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match. The winning team in Map 2 will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be used to determine contract payouts. The platform will verify the result and process payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either KeepBest Gaming or Bilibili Gaming could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key objective control, will also likely cause significant price movements. Major upsets in other matches within the league could also indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity in this market. Overall, any information impacting the perceived probability of either team winning Map 2 has the potential to move the market.