TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either the Miami Dolphins or the Kansas City Chiefs. The outcomes depend solely on the final points each team scores during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a set threshold of points in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the team in question exceeds the stated point threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets are independent, meaning each threshold represents a separate condition. The resolution hinges exclusively on the official game result, with no ties or alternative scenarios considered. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand among traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market offers different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information is factored in by participants. It's common to see discrepancies, as each represents a different approach to assessing the likelihood of outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market’s price reflects the collective belief of those actively trading, making it a unique measure of expectation for the Chiefs-Dolphins team total.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total score for the Chiefs-Dolphins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official combined score recorded by the league at the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual team total. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will determine the payout for each contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity and the price of this market.