TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins. It specifically evaluates performance during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Miami wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potential discrepancies. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team’s chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see prediction markets as a more accurate reflection of true probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the fourth quarter of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could impact trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.