TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins during the third quarter of their designated game exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter must surpass its respective threshold. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets, regardless of the final game outcome or points scored in other quarters. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution depends solely on whether the actual third-quarter scoring meets or exceeds that market's specific requirement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially leading up to the event, as traders incorporate new data and opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between the KC Chiefs and the MIA Dolphins will be used to determine if the total points scored exceed the threshold set by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Chiefs or Dolphins would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and the price of contracts in this market. A late-breaking change to the starting quarterback for either team would almost certainly move the market.