TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins?

Volume:
$121,529

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,926
N/A
N/A
$39,180
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,748
N/A
N/A
$17,972
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,640
N/A
N/A
$13,438
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,822
N/A
N/A
$10,108
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,481
N/A
N/A
$6,029
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,266
N/A
N/A
$2,266
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$1,990
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will have a decisive lead early in the game.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins during the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the point spread required for resolution. If the Chiefs win the first quarter by exceeding the specified margin—for example, more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if the Dolphins secure a first-quarter victory with a margin exceeding 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the respective market resolves to 'Yes' for Miami. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own threshold without influence from others. The markets are not endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Dolphins 1st quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You’ll see a dynamic display of the odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay or accept for each spread. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $115,164, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $121,529. This allows you to gauge market activity and sentiment around the potential outcome of the first quarter.

Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that market participants have information or perspectives that aren’t fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s assessment. It’s worth noting that prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes than traditional polls or expert analyses.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the first quarter of the Chiefs-Dolphins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams at the end of the first quarter, compared to the spread offered in the contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The final result will be based on official game statistics.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would be a major catalyst, potentially shifting the perceived advantage. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.