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400,720

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KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of KC Chiefs vs MIA Dolphins?

Volume:
$745,617

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 2:48 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$377,249
N/A
N/A
$232,086
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 3.5 points

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,355
N/A
N/A
$46,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 2.5 points

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,101
N/A
N/A
$28,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 4.5 points

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,807
N/A
N/A
$19,246
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 7.5 points

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,710
N/A
N/A
$39,244
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 9.5 points

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,428
N/A
N/A
$23,241
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 13.5 points

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,523
N/A
N/A
$25,349
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 14.5 points

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,834
N/A
N/A
$19,324
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 10.5 points

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,206
N/A
N/A
$11,031
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 2.5 points

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,961
N/A
N/A
$9,634
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 9.5 points

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,540
N/A
N/A
$2,471
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 17.5 points

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,729
N/A
N/A
$2,192
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 1H by over 20.5 points

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,931
N/A
N/A
$1,578
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,717
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 3.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$934
N/A
N/A
$934
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 10.5 points

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$693
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins 1H by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$612
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

These markets evaluate different point-spread thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins. Each outcome represents a specific margin of victory required for the market to settle positively, focusing solely on performance during the initial 30 minutes of play.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a points margin exceeding the specified threshold for that market. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution. The markets cover a range of spreads from 2.5 to 20.5 points for either team, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in the opening half. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Dolphins first half spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads. You can view the historical price action, giving insight into how traders are positioning themselves on the game. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $716,024, and the total overall volume traded to date, which is $745,617. This provides a sense of market interest and activity surrounding this particular matchup. The dashboard is a central place to monitor the evolving expectations for the first half result.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent views. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see some initial discrepancies that narrow as kickoff nears.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final official first-half point spread will be used to determine which contracts settle at $100. Contracts representing spreads that were correct will pay out $100, while those representing incorrect spreads will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could contribute to shifts in the market. The closer we get to Sep 27, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to new information.