TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different point-spread thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins. Each outcome represents a specific margin of victory required for the market to settle positively, focusing solely on performance during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a points margin exceeding the specified threshold for that market. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution. The markets cover a range of spreads from 2.5 to 20.5 points for either team, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in the opening half. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent views. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see some initial discrepancies that narrow as kickoff nears.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final official first-half point spread will be used to determine which contracts settle at $100. Contracts representing spreads that were correct will pay out $100, while those representing incorrect spreads will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could contribute to shifts in the market. The closer we get to Sep 27, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to new information.