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KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
kalshi
polymarket

KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions

Volume:
$30,126

Over 9.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 6:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,626
N/A
N/A
$3,386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
$675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$329
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) matchup between SSG Landers and Samsung Lions scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under run-total markets on the same game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing different settlement values from the same underlying game event. Polymarket settles on win/loss outcome; Kalshi settles on aggregate run totals across four distinct thresholds.Hero tip: Do not assume correlation implies hedging. A win by SSG Landers does not automatically resolve Kalshi run-total markets in any predictable direction. Treat these as separate trading instruments. Verify your intended market type before execution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market on game winner. Resolves to SSG Landers if they win, Samsung Lions if they win, or 50-50 if postponed indefinitely, canceled, or tied. Primary source: official KBO data and credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs scored by both teams. Each market resolves Yes if the stated threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs) is exceeded. No explicit tie or cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between SSG Landers and Samsung Lions, scheduled for June 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SSG Landers" if the SSG Landers win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both SSG Landers and Samsung Lions combined during the game. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold: the market resolves Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs respectively). Only runs that count toward the official final score are included in the calculation.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the KBO matchup between SSG Landers and Samsung Lions across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays the consensus probability for each outcome, current market prices, and cumulative trading volume to show where predictors believe the match is headed. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a cross-market view of sentiment and can identify which outcomes are gaining or losing conviction. The dashboard updates continuously, letting you monitor how major news, lineup changes, or injury reports shift market expectations before the event resolves.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, real-time consensus than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate continuous trader activity and allow anyone to update prices instantly. Sportsbooks, by contrast, adjust odds less frequently and build in wider margins. For the KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions event, prediction market odds tend to move faster in response to breaking news, player availability, or weather updates. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities—if a sportsbook line lags behind prediction market consensus, it may signal mispricing. However, prediction markets typically have lower liquidity, so large bets may move prices more dramatically.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also list slightly different outcome formulations—for example, one might focus on match winner while the other emphasizes run totals—leading to divergent odds even for the same underlying event. Regulatory differences, withdrawal policies, and user base geography also influence how quickly each platform responds to new information about the KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across platforms, but during low-liquidity periods or breaking news, meaningful spreads can persist for hours.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports affecting star players on either the Landers or Lions, recent team form and winning streaks, head-to-head historical matchups, and weather conditions at game time. Lineup changes, managerial decisions, or trades announced close to the match can shift market odds significantly. Additionally, betting action and sharp money flowing into one side often signals informed conviction and can trigger rapid repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitor Korean baseball news outlets and official KBO communications for updates. Late-breaking developments—such as a key player being ruled out hours before first pitch—typically cause the largest market moves.